Trump on Trial
(E. Jean Carroll is cross examined on Thursday, January 18. Courtroom sketch by Jane Rosenberg/Reuters).
Good morning, Gentle Readers! We rolled out a strategy for staggering through the next ten months to the General Election on 05 November 2024. To do so, we examined the agendas for the two major parties and the events scheduled for the whole yer, divided by month. We learned something in the first day out o the box. A lot has changed since yesterday, and we will try to catch up on rumors and innuendo.
15 January: We will let the renowned historian and California farmer Victor Davis Hanson’s more elegant treatment of the LAWFARE puzzle open this day’s accounting. The biggest news from him this morning is striking. He says we should dispense with the tired political narrative being brought by four state and federal prosecutors against Mr. Trump. There are indictments for more than thirty offenses. Two of them had development yesterday that superseded other previous ones. The two that popped yesterday came with some old baggage.
The sketch above by Jean Rosenberg of former columnist E. Jean Carroll led to one of them. Ms. Carroll’s claims of abuse by the forMER president have a remarkable resemblance to those brought against Supreme Court Nominee Brett Kavanaugh. Remember those? We only remember how an alleged crime at n unspecified time in an unmentioned place should trump adherence to a speedy trial and presumption of innocence. What is even more extraordinary is the similarity to the line of questioning used by the current Presideent against Justice Clarance Thomas in his confiration hearings and now the similar one used against Mr. Trump. It appears to be an established component of lawfare, like the $148 Million judgement against former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani. He was worth only $50 Million ten yers ago, and like Lt. Gen. Flynn, could be wiped out defending himself in the matter of MR. Trump’s troubles.
Ms. Carroll claims she was raped in a Bergdorf-Goodman Deportment store some thirty-odd years ago by Mr. Trump. There is no physical evidence or even date presented to support the claim, but that appears to be how our Justice system works now. Trump is not being charged with sexual assault, per se, but rather that he disparaged Ms. Carroll after her biographical book made the claim some thirty-odd yers after the alleged event. ”, but , and then disparaged her claim sice with the major events coordinated independently and without contact with either the Biden White House or the radical Democrats in Congress. All parties came to what Dr. Hanson termed “the same disinterested conclusions that Donald Trump should be indicted for various crimes and put on trial during the campaign season of 2024.”
Based on yesterday’s activities, there are plenty of developments in the legal venues, the two in progress now have fireworks. The Carroll claims are teetering on the improbable. The prosecutors began accelerating their indictments only once Trump started to lead incumbent Joe Biden by sizable margins in head-to-head polls. Moreover, Dr. Hanson points out that if Trump had not run for the presidency, or had he been of the same party as most of the four prosecutors, he would have never been indicted by any of them.
That blends nicely into the other legal show in progress, the one down in Georgia. In that one, Prosecutor Fani Willis is digging an ethical hole about hiring a legal counsel who has little trial experience Yet now they are in a doom loop of discovering that the more they seek to rush to judgment before the election and gag Trump from speaking publicly about these witch hunt/star-chamber proceedings, the more he rises in the polls.
In truth, each succeeding cycle of lawFare has ended in embarrassing failure, just as the others have since 2015 and Mrs. Clinton’s failure in 2016. You can count ’em if it is easier to keep track of. ‘
1. The Russian collusion hoax
2. Weaponized impeachment against an incumbent President.
3. Stormy Daniels and whether she was paid to be quiet about a Trump affair.
4. The Mar-a-Lago Classified Documents hoo-hah search apparently organized by the FBI even as the current chief executive has had similar papers in his garage for twenty years.
(Fox News is covering the Georgia developments that made Clay Travis nice and cozy with his bank account).
Ten months to go! In addition to the four major charges listed above, there is more detail that will change daily. Those include trying ex-President Trump in the Senate as a private citizen on the second impeachment, the laptop disinformation set-up, the Alfa Bank ping caper, the pathetic attempt to erase Trump from state ballots do not return things to zero.
Rather, the Democrat strategy is proceeding backwards and is actually serving as a force multipliers for each other. The declaration that the lawsuits are intended to “Save our Democracy” is one of our favorites, since the United States is not a democracy. We have been a Constitutional Republic and have been since the start.
The LawFare tactics began accelerating their indictments only when Trump started to lead incumbent Joe Biden by sizable margins in head-to-head polls. Moreover, had Trump not run for the presidency, or had he been of the same party as most of the four prosecutors, he would have never been indicted by any of them.
The more they seek to rush to judgment before the election and gag Trump from speaking publicly about these star-chamber proceedings, the more he rises in the polls. There is more in the background, of course. Some of the prosecutors have colluded with White House lawyers and congressional liaisons. Some had run for office, offering campaign promises to get Trump convicted for something or other.
The dates for Trump’s upcoming trials on thirty-something indictments appears below and how they fit with the rest of the primaries, caucuses leading up to Election Day. Mr. Trump won a crashing big victory in the Iowa GOP primary, then jumped on a plane and has been to Manhattan and new Hampshire in the rest of the week.
That is the conflict at the presumed top of both the ticket. Of course there is more. We mentioned the consequences of the General Election on the US Senate. Both chambers have very slim majorities and both could flip in addition to the White House.
Senate Dems: They face at least eight undecided incumbent seat in the World’s Greatest Deliberative Body. Of 33 Senate seats up for election 23 are Dem-held. In the term starting in 2026, 23 vulnerable seats are held by Democrats. That makes for a couple tough cycles for Blue voters & even harder if the incumbents to those seats choose not to run. So, the Senate is up for grabs. We said it yesterday. It is not today, but it is very close indeed.close. Here is the list of events on the schedule for the rest of this month.
January
15 January: Iowa GOP PRESIDENTIAL CAUCUS RESULTS; Trump 51%, DeSantis 21.2%, Haley 19.1%, Ramaswamy 7.7%. All others less than 1%
17 January: New York Post columnist Cindy Adams warns on Wednesday that Americans shouldn’t be shocked if Mrs. Obama “sneaks her way into the 2024 race.” She began her op-ed by blistering Biden. The weakness of the president appears to be deepening. He won’t debate because he no longer has the ability to do so. He is now having difficulty reading the prewritten scripts rom the teleprompter in front of him. Some commentators are writing him off already- which adds fuel to rumors of Michelle and Robert Kennedy’s candidacy. There is a real possibility the incumbent will not be able to run.
18 January. Republican town hall with Nikki Haley and Jake Tapper on CNN (New Hampshire) Iowa feedback: Nikki Haley’s chances look pretty hopeless. Despite her polling boost in recent weeks, the momentum behind Haley is slowing. A strong enough anti-Trump coalition has previously failed to materialize in New Hampshire.
19 January: E. Jean Carroll is off the stand after a day and a half of testimony in her civil trial to decide how much money in damages, if any, former President Donald Trump must pay her for his 2019 defamatory statements about her sexual assault allegations.
19 January: New York Post columnist Cindy Adams warned on Wednesday that Americans shouldn’t be shocked if Michelle Obama “sneaks her way into the 2024 race.” She began her op-ed by blistering Biden.
23 January New Hampshire GOP primary (Dem Primary non-binding)
31 January Federal Election Commission year-end report due.
The last day in January will spark all sorts of frantic and emotional pleas for money, direct communications to registered GOP and Dem candidates for additional resources. Both sides will tell you they need cash to beat back the forces of evil. Stand by. We re only getting started on this election year!
Copyrght 2024 Vic Socotra
www.vicscotra.com